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AI in 2026: 3 Predictions For What’s To Come (a16z Big Ideas)

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AI is reshaping how discovery, connection, and business advantage are created. In part three of Big Ideas 2026, we explore three shifts defining where AI goes next when the stakes are real and the impact compounds. Oliver Hsu explains how advances in AI reasoning and robotics are moving science toward autonomous labs, accelerating discovery while making interpretability essential. Bryan Kim explores how consumer AI is evolving beyond productivity toward connection, identity, and helping people feel seen. David Haber breaks down why the most durable AI companies are those where AI reinforces the business model itself, driving revenue, outcomes, and compounding advantage. Timecodes: 0:00 Big Ideas for 2026 0:28 Autonomous Labs and AI in Scientific Discovery 3:55 Market Dynamics and Early Adopters in Autonomous Science 5:08 Public-Private Partnerships Accelerating AI-Driven Science 6:21 AI in Consumer Applications: From Productivity to Connectivity 7:08 AI and Human Connection: Startups vs. Incumbents 7:47 AI as a Relationship Facilitator 8:39 Personalization and the Future of Consumer AI 9:31 AI Reinforcing Business Models 10:05 Case Study: AI in Plaintiff Law and Lending 11:26 Compounding Advantages and Proprietary Data 12:29 Smarter Outcomes and the Future of AI-Driven Platforms Resources: Follow Oliver on X: https://twitter.com/oyhsu Follow Bryan Kim on X: https://twitter.com/kirbyman01 Follow David Haber on X: https://twitter.com/dhaber Read more all of our 2026 Big Ideas Part 1: https://a16z.com/newsletter/big-ideas-2026-part-1 Part 2: https://a16z.com/newsletter/big-ideas-2026-part-2 Part 3: https://a16z.com/newsletter/big-ideas-2026-part-3 Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends! Find a16z on X: https://twitter.com/a16z Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYX Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711 Follow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details, please see http://a16z.com/disclosures.

📝 Transcript

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Top Comments
@joygoodnesstruth
The music in the background was so intense that it made the video much more difficult to listen to.
45 likes
@reachkkarthik
Guys please minimize the music volume
20 likes
@tyc00n
jfc get rid of the music ffs
10 likes
@urmo2d
Great insight! Thank you
@JohnSmith-bm6zg
Millennium rider like tinchy stryder.
2 likes
@cuigthallann4091
Self Driving Lab - great idea. But where is the working model as described? Sounds more like "fake it until you make it."
2 likes
@carlosrayortiz
About to change to the same tbing
1 likes
@Uncool-vn5vz
Big question still is HOW ARE THEY finding their clients.
1 likes
@deeplearningpartnership
These kidz know jack.
2 likes
@angloland4539
1 likes
@dccrowley
Autonomous labs 🤯 what could possibly go wrong CTRL+ALT+DELETE
@Ivan_Novgorodsky_
Почему нет перевода на русский?
@iainparkes2581
I suspect a real use of AI will be to clean up ones digital footprint to reduce and eliminate information about you being in the hands of people who are not actually on your side (like governments and businesses) Remember, if you give information away, you are someone else's product...
@mistycloud4455
AGI Will be man's last invention
@HelloWorld-hb7yt
music ruined it... i can't focus.